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SHFE Tin 2503 Futures Midday Review (February 13, 2025)
In the morning session, the SHFE tin 2503 contract opened at 259,010 yuan/mt, up 1,510 yuan, and then continued to fluctuate at high levels, reaching an intraday high of 261,000 yuan/mt. By midday, the most-traded contract closed at 257,340 yuan/mt, up 270 yuan from the previous trading day.
US January CPI data exceeded expectations, with core CPI rising 0.4% MoM, prompting the market to reprice the pace of US Fed interest rate cuts. The US dollar index fell under pressure, boosting the prices of base metals denominated in US dollars. Domestically, with the Two Sessions approaching, rising policy expectations combined with accelerated post-holiday resumption of work and production have improved the demand outlook for industrial metals, further supporting tin prices. Supply Side: Indonesia's tin ingot exports remained at low levels, coupled with a decline in operating rates at some domestic smelters due to tight raw material supply. High Prices Suppress Demand: Current prices near 260,000 yuan/mt may suppress downstream purchase willingness, and caution is needed regarding potential downward pressure from insufficient demand elasticity.
SHFE tin futures prices are expected to continue consolidating at high levels in the afternoon, with a narrower fluctuation range likely at 256,000-259,000 yuan/mt.
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